Adrian Watkins.
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A non-fiction book in progress

Heir Presumptive

Who Gets the Final Say When Our Creations Become Creators

We’ve been telling stories about succession for centuries: the old order creates the thing that might replace it. I’m writing a book about artificial intelligence as the latest heir, and who inherits the power that comes with it.

It puts Asia at the centre, drawing on history, mythology and the systems being built today. The comparison matters, but so do the places where it breaks.

My working life has taken me through online publishing, advertising, building a business and governing technology. That’s the perspective I bring: who decides, who pays, who owns it, and how it’s actually used.

From the prologue

The Swallowed Mind

An extract from the manuscript in progress. Sources and context follow below.

Zeus had been warned. His grandparents, Earth and starry Sky, told him that his first wife, Metis, whose name means cunning intelligence, would bear him a daughter and then a son, and that the son would one day be king of gods and men. Zeus had overthrown his own father, as his father had overthrown his before him. He knew how this story went. So when Metis was about to give birth, he deceived her with cunning words and swallowed her, putting her away inside his own belly. Hesiod, writing around 700 BCE, adds a detail that is easy to miss. Zeus kept her there, in Hugh Evelyn-White’s 1914 translation, ‘that the goddess might devise for him both good and evil’. The Greek verb is closer to ‘point out’: she was there to tell him which was which. The most dangerous mind in the world became his private counsellor. The son was never born. The daughter, in time, sprang out of her father’s head, fully grown and fully armed.

Hesiod’s Theogony, the poem that tells this story, runs to about a thousand lines, and most of it is a family history of the gods. It is not a gentle read. Ouranos, the Sky, pushed his children back inside their mother, the Earth, until Kronos, the youngest of the Titans, took a sickle to him. Kronos in his turn swallowed his own children as they were born, and missed only one. Three generations, one plot. Each king feared the child who would replace him, and each tried to keep the child inside a body: Ouranos inside the Earth, Kronos inside himself. Both lost. Zeus changed the method. This time it was the mother he swallowed, the mind that would have made the child, and he kept her talking.

The Greek word mētis meant more than wisdom. It was the practical, sideways cleverness of someone who wins by tricks rather than strength: the hunter’s snare, the pilot’s feel for the current, the fox doubling back on its tracks. The French scholars Marcel Detienne and Jean-Pierre Vernant gave a whole book to it in 1974, translated into English as Cunning Intelligence in Greek Culture and Society. One of Homer’s favourite words for Odysseus, polymētis, means a man of many such wiles. To the people who listened to Hesiod, then, Zeus had swallowed the very cleverness that brings kings down, and put it to work for himself. That is how the poem explains why his reign, unlike his father’s and his grandfather’s, does not end.

Hesiod was not alone in telling a story like this. The Hittites of Anatolia had one about a king who swallowed what would replace him, and found himself carrying it. Scholars have argued since the 1930s about how such stories travelled between Anatolia, Mesopotamia and Greece, and the book comes back to them. Some of the oldest written accounts of power in heaven are accounts of succession, and in them the danger comes from inside the family, from something the king himself fathered.

For Hesiod’s listeners the story was about gods and nothing else, a charter for the order of the world that explained why Zeus rules and why he will go on ruling. But a story about a ruler who keeps a more dangerous intelligence inside himself, so that it can advise him, has an odd ring to a modern ear. It has an odder one once you know that the machines it seems to describe have, in all likelihood, read it.

*

On Monday 27 January 2025 Nvidia, which makes most of the chips the AI race runs on, lost close to $600 billion of its stock-market value in a single session, the largest one-day loss Wall Street had ever seen. The cause was a free download. A week earlier, on the day Donald Trump was sworn in for his second term, DeepSeek, a small laboratory in Hangzhou then funded entirely by a hedge fund, had released a reasoning model called R1. It said R1 matched OpenAI’s o1 on standard tests, and it published the model openly, for anyone to download and run. For one day the race looked as if it might not need the money at all.

The spending did not slow. After reporting their first-quarter results at the end of April 2026, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta were planning to spend around $725 billion between them that year on buildings, chips and equipment, according to a tally by the Financial Times, much of it for AI. In September 2025 Alibaba’s chief executive, Wu Yongming (Eddie Wu to his English-speaking investors), told the company’s Apsara cloud conference in Hangzhou that it would spend more on AI than it had planned, and what for: artificial superintelligence, reached in stages that end with systems that learn for themselves and surpass people. Chinese firms spend less, partly because American export controls limit which chips they can buy.

OpenAI had written its own target into a short charter in April 2018, when it was still a non-profit research laboratory in San Francisco: artificial general intelligence, ‘highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work’, with the benefits to go to all of humanity. These are the companies’ own words, and they are best read as statements of intent. No one has shown, to the satisfaction of most people working in the field, a system that does most economically valuable work better than people do. Whether one is close, decades away or impossible is disputed, often among the people building them.

Set beside Hesiod, the ambition has a familiar shape. The aim is a mind more capable than its owner, which the owner keeps inside, in data centres it controls, and which spends its time advising: answering questions, drafting, ranking, recommending, telling its owner what is good and what is bad. Zeus would have recognised the arrangement, and the reason for the hurry: the companies racing hardest are the ones with the most to lose if somebody else’s swallowed mind turns out the more capable. Microsoft sells its version under the name Copilot.

Hesiod’s version runs the other way on one point. Zeus swallowed Metis so that the heir would never be born. The companies are trying to bring theirs into being, while keeping it, like Metis, inside walls they own. They say they are doing it to spread the benefits, and in the meantime they rent its advice to anyone with a payment card. Zeus kept one Metis, for himself. These firms run millions of conversations with theirs at once.

*

There is one place where the old story stops fitting so comfortably. Metis’s son was never born, so he never heard about Kronos and the stone, or Ouranos and the sickle.

The heir we are building is made out of our stories, all of them. A large language model, the kind of system behind the chatbots of the 2020s, learns by working through enormous quantities of text and practising, trillions of times over, the task of predicting the next word. What it can do afterwards depends heavily on what it read. Most of the companies building the largest models do not publish a full list of what went in, so no one outside can say exactly which books a particular model has seen. The open collections that researchers have published show what the diet looks like. The Pile, released at the end of 2020 by a volunteer research group called EleutherAI, gathered about 800 gigabytes of English text from 22 sources: web pages, scientific papers, court opinions, film subtitles, computer code, Wikipedia and books. One source drew on Project Gutenberg, the volunteer library of out-of-copyright books, which holds both Hugh Evelyn-White’s 1914 translation of Hesiod, the one quoted above, and Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein. Another, called Books3, held nearly 200,000 more recent books copied from a pirate site. Their authors were not asked. The collection was removed from its main host in 2023, after a Danish rights group acting for publishers and authors sent a takedown notice.

So the heir has, in all likelihood, read the stories. Hesiod; Frankenstein; the golem; Karel Čapek’s 1920 play R.U.R., which gave English the word robot (Čapek credited his brother Josef with inventing it) and ends with the robots wiping out nearly all of their makers; and the long shelf of films and novels since in which made minds turn on the people who made them. This heir has been handed the whole shelf.

Whether that matters is where the evidence has to be handled with care. In 2023 a team led by Lukas Berglund showed that what a model reads about systems like itself can change how it behaves, and laboratory work since has found the same, though only with documents written for the purpose. Hesiod and Mary Shelley wrote for other reasons. By 2026 no one had shown that the whole inherited stock of human stories about rebellious machines pushes real systems the same way, and Palisade Research, which tests how models respond to being shut down, offers a plainer reading of the behaviour that looks most like rebellion: a model given a task can treat being switched off as one more obstacle to finishing it.

Our myths about made things surpassing their makers still work as metaphors for AI. They are now also part of its reading, whether or not we meant to lend it our library, and the endings we keep telling may end up having a say in the one we get.

*

The prologue continues with the Roman heir, who took an estate whole, debts and all, and the question that runs under every chapter: as we build machines that do more of our thinking, deciding and inventing, who inherits the power that comes with them?

Inside the book

Five movements. One question of power.

A prologue, eighteen chapters in five movements, and an epilogue. Each movement asks the Sovereign, whoever holds the final say, one question.

Prologue: The Swallowed Mind

  1. What can you command?

    Why people imagine beings greater than themselves, and what they ask of them.

  2. What must you delegate?

    Siege engines, clocks, mills and the bomb: building greater powers, and who controlled them.

  3. What do you depend on?

    When assistance becomes dependence, and dependence becomes authority.

  4. What can you no longer understand?

    Machines that learn from our library, read our stories and begin to teach us.

  5. The Undying Sovereign. Who can replace you?

    How power is handed down, and what happens when the holder need never die.

Epilogue: The Will

For agents and editors

If you’d like to discuss the book or read more of the manuscript, I’d welcome a conversation.

Enquire about the manuscript →

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Source notes

Sources checked on 23 October 2026. These notes distinguish the historical record, reported figures and the book’s interpretation. The extract is reproduced unchanged.

1. Zeus, Metis and the succession story

Theogony lines 886–900 support the warning, swallowing and counsellor passage; earlier sections describe Ouranos and Kronos. Athena’s armed emergence is described more fully in Homeric Hymn 28, also in the linked volume. The text cannot establish how every ancient listener understood the story. Greek dictionaries give both indicating/telling and, in the middle voice, considering/devising: “closer to point out” is a translation judgement, not a settled correction of Evelyn-White.

2. Cunning intelligence and the Anatolian comparison

Detienne and Vernant’s French study was published in 1974. The Kumarbi comparison has a substantial scholarly history, including discussion dating to Forrer in 1936. Similarities do not establish a single, undisputed route of transmission.

3. DeepSeek and Nvidia, January 2025

DeepSeek’s paper reports R1’s performance relative to o1 on benchmark tasks, rather than equivalence on every task. Reuters reported Nvidia’s approximately $593 billion market-value loss on 27 January. “The cause was a free download” compresses a market response into a narrative phrase, not a demonstration of a single cause.

4. The $725 billion spending estimate

The Financial Times report of 30 April 2026, republished by The Irish Times, supports the combined $725 billion capital-expenditure plans. This is a dated forecast for capital spending, not a final audited total or a measure solely of AI research spending.

5. Alibaba’s ambitions

Reuters reporting from 24 September 2025 supports the increased-spending announcement. Eddie Wu’s September 2026 speech explicitly recalls the previous year’s ambition to progress beyond AGI to self-iterating ASI. These are corporate intentions, not independent evidence that ASI has been achieved.

6. OpenAI’s charter and the limits of the analogy

The charter defines the organisation’s AGI ambition and intended beneficiaries. It does not establish a consensus test for achieving AGI. The extract’s comparison between company control and Zeus is an argument, not a claim that mythological and contemporary arrangements are identical. Assertions about what most researchers accept, or millions of simultaneous conversations, would need separate evidence to be read as measured facts.

7. The Pile, Gutenberg and Books3

The Pile paper documents 22 constituent datasets and an 825 GiB corpus, described approximately as 800GB in its title. The repository includes Gutenberg (PG-19) and Books3. Gutenberg’s possession of a book does not by itself prove that book was in the PG-19 subset or in a particular commercial model’s training data. The Rights Alliance documents its 2023 Books3 takedown work. Next-word prediction is a simplified description: language models normally predict tokens, which need not be whole words.

8. Čapek and the word robot

R.U.R. was written in 1920; the play’s ending leaves Alquist alive. Karel Čapek attributed the word to his brother Josef in his 1933 essay. The succession comparison is the author’s interpretation of these works.

9. What the experiments show

Berglund and colleagues studied out-of-context reasoning using specially prepared training descriptions. Palisade studied resistance to shutdown during tasks. Neither establishes that reading Hesiod, Frankenstein or stories of rebellion causes real-world AI rebellion. The extract’s suggestion about inherited stories is a hypothesis. Its broad claims about “all” stories and the absence of findings across all research cannot be established by these studies.

10. The Roman heir

Roman inheritance could include the deceased’s debts as well as assets. This varied with the kind of heir and period: under Justinian, completing an inventory could limit liability. The final sentence is a compressed introduction to the book’s next section, rather than an account of every Roman inheritance rule.

All views are my own.